Simply put, trend on #NIFTY and #BANKNIFTY on daily charts is sideways. On hourly charts also we are trading in a sideways channel in both the indices. Option Chain is sideways to bearish on both the Indices. Slight divergence on RSI is visible on Nifty and Bank Nifty. Hence its safe to say that trend is sideways with a bearish bias. And it may remain so till the RBI meeting result is out on Wednesday. Till that time we may see intraday bursts to either side. Well, if we catc
#Nifty may temporary cross the 16400 hurdle. As of writing this post, it already has. But it may not sustain as this is a temporary trend on Hourly Charts. 75 Min Chart of #Nifty Price is well above the value zone of 16200. Price is trading above the Alligator which is a bullish sign. MACD is highly bullish above 0 line. So its safe to assume that we might face first resistance at 17000 as this is the previous value zone. Now coming to daily charts lets look at the chart. MAC
#Nifty I was holding an Iron Butterfly of 9200 with expectation that market will revolve sideways between 600 points. But we went extreme today. I had: -3 X 9200 CE, +3 X 9700 CE, -3 X 9200 PE, +3 X 8700 PE. I am only holding -3 X 9200 CE so as to make it breakeven. Rest I have covered.
I haven't turned bearish. I am still sideways. What we say today was bit of an over reaction by market. With that, I created following position: -3 X 8900 CE, +3 X 9400 CE, -3 X 8900 PE, +3
On #BANKNIFTY 19000 and on #Nifty 9200/9100/9000 is crucial support for some time. Break of these levels will give further momentum. Technically, both the indices are weak and any momentum to upside is not visible. Involvement of smart money is minimum. Bank Nifty appears much weaker than Nifty. On 30 April 2020, we had huge long buildup on Nifty. COI rose by 17 lakh and till date we are witnessing long unwinding. Whatever positions were created to long side are all covered.
These were the positions I was carrying yesterday: 1. #INDUSINDBK - Closed at a profit of ₹50,000/-. 2. #SBIN - Sold a 200 strike call and created a strangle. 3. #RELIANCE - Still holding naked put sold at 1120 strike. 4. #JUBLFOOD - Still holding naked put sold at 1350 strike. 5. #HDFCBANK - Still holding calendar spread. No changes. 6. #RBLBANK - Closed 150 CE at ₹2. Now holding naked 130 CE. Added 2 Rs. benefit. 7. #NIFTY - Got lucky on one of the wrong trades. Yesterday,
This is how I have done adjustment to my existing positions: 1. #INFY - Cost to cost exit. Did not create new position due to pending results. 2. #RELIANCE - Cost to cost exit. Reversed and sold 1120 naked put at ₹20/-. Yesterday was getting bullish signs. 3. #SBIN - Rejected downside. Banking sector as a whole was giving bullish signals. Sold a 180 PE which if right can cover loss and give profits. 4. #HDFCBANK - Was carrying naked call sold at 960. Results were on Saturday,
I am officially bull above 8684 now. I was holding following positions yesterday: 1. #KOTAKBANK - Covered cost to cost when it moved Rs. 30 against my initial sell price. 2. #SBIN - Banking sector has gone bullish or quite strong now. Covered at loss but sold 180 PE. If SBIN stays above 180 in coming days, the collective trade will still give me Rs. 10,000/- profit. 3. #HDFCBANK - Bought a 1000 strike call as a hedge. Results are due on Saturday. If opening is normal, then wi
These were the positions I was carrying: 1. #AXISBANK - Made an exit at around 433. After that it touched 447. I think it was a fake up move and came down later but gave me a loss of ₹6000/-. I don't keep over night options if it is ITM and I am on the sell side. 2. #INFY #SBIN #INDUSINDBK are all going fine. 3. #Nifty Ratio Calendar: This is how I managed it; Sold 9100 Put and booked profit in that. Sold 9200 Put and booed minor loss in that. Sold 9100 Put later but market c
Technical Analysis Short positions which were built on #Nifty and #BankNifty on 26 February 2020 kept on getting built till 19 March 2020. Post that we are witnessing a continuous decline in OI. In layman terms, new positions were not added, and existing positions were cut. So, whosoever went short in the end of March 2020 has been getting out at bottom. Short Positions that started to build from 11700 as can be seen from chart below remains in control below 9200. We can also
Last week was a dead cat bounce. Today the market rejected upside which came due to RBI measures. India Vix is falling, still the market is going down. Slowly and steadily we are coming back to the normal trading range but Vix is still very high. I created a Ratio Calendar in the morning on #NIFTY. Sold -6 Lots of 8500 CE at ₹88/- of current week ad bought monthly 3 lots of 9000 CE at ₹178/-. Rational is very simple. Its partial hedge. Ultimately this week will go to 0 and mo
I mentioned in my previous analysis that whichever way the OI picks up, market will move in that direction. #Nifty climbed by the end of day following the previous few days bullish trend. #BankNifty as of now is not moving with same momentum. Apart from positional trades, I did some scalping trades. Dow Jones also inched higher yesterday but eventually gave up the gains. Technically and Data wise, we are overbought right now and going ahead I expect little consolidation. Sust
Nifty future witnessed long buildup. We hit a new all time high. Down move and buildup on Monday was fake. It also shows how big players fake the market data. Max Pain moved up to 12100 which is bullish. PCR at 1.65 is extremely bullish right now. India Vix eased further to 12.62, down 6%. Again a sign that there is not much fear in the market right now. FIIs were net buyer of 1248 crore and DIIs were net seller of 908 crore giving a net buy for the day. Monthly Max pain move